Nick Clegg

Harry Potter and Bayesian inference

Harry Potter star Daniel Radcliffe is dumping the Lib Dems for Labour because Nick Clegg is a “whipping boy” and Ed Miliband is “genuine, genuinely leftwing, and will act as such if he gets in.” Yet Bayesian inference suggests Radcliffe’s reasoning is flawed. The probability of a politician behaving differently when in power compared to …

Devil in the detail

While David Cameron and Nick Clegg were having their love-in in the Downing Street rose garden yesterday, details emerged of the terms upon which their coalition was founded. Most of the document represented a mix of the Conservative and Liberal Democrat policies outlined in their manifesto. Some of those – like immigration caps – are …